S2D conference banner 2

Second International Conference on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction (S2S) and
Second International Conference on Seasonal to Decadal Prediction (S2D)

 The conference will be held over five days. It will have individual, parallel sessions for the S2S and S2D communities, followed by joint sessions to present and discuss common scientific, technical, and operational challenges shared by the two communities. Contributions will include invited talks, contributed presentations, poster sessions, and panel discussions.

Tentative agenda (as of September 7, 2018)

  • For a .pdf version of the draft programme, click here
  • For a .pdf version of the abstract book for oral presentations, click here
  • For a .pdf version of the abstract book for poster presentations, click here

 

MONDAY 17 SEPTEMBER

7.00–8.30 Arrival/Registration
8.30–12.00

Plenary Sessions - Main auditorium at Center Green (CG)

Chair: Gokhan Danabasoglu

8.30–8.45 Welcome and Opening Remarks - Gokhan Danabasoglu & Antonio J. Busalacchi
8.45–8.55 NCAR - Vanda Grubisic & Jean-Francois Lamarque
8.55–9.05 WMO/WCRP - Guy Brasseur
9.05- 9.15 WMO/WWRP -  Estelle De Coning
9.15- 9.25 NOAA/MAPP Subseasonal to seasonal science and predictions initiatives of the NOAA MAPP ProgramAnnarita Mariotti
9.25-9.40 S2S – Project achievements and future plans - Frédéric Vitart and Andrew Robertson
9.40-9.55 WGSIP/DCPP – Project achievements and future plans - Bill Merryfield and Doug Smith
9.55-10.00 Early Career Scientists' Activities - Matthias Tuma
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-11.00 Opportunities and challenges towards skillful predictions Subseasonal to decadal prediction: Looking back on 40 years of progress - and projecting forward another 40 yearsTim Palmer
11.00-11.30 Filling the research-operations gap Research Needs for advancing operational S2D forecasting infrastructureArun Kumar
11.30-12.00 Connecting prediction information to application Lisa Goddard
12.00-13.15 Lunch
13.15-17.45 Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B
 

S2S session Theme A1:
Mechanisms of S2S predictability
North and Center CG

S2D session Theme B1:
Mechanisms of S2D predictability
FL auditorium (streaming South CG)

13:15-14.45 S2S session Theme A1: Mechanisms of S2S predictability
Chair: Andrew Roberston
Rapporteurs: Alex Gonzalez & Kirsten Mayer
13.15-13.45 Brunet, Gilbert (Keynote): Identifying wave processes associated with predictability across subseasonal to seasonal time scales (A1-01)
13.45-14.00 Toth, Zoltan: Predictive signal and noise in sub-seasonal to decadal forecasts (A1-02)
14.00-14.15 Newman, Matt: Sources of tropical subseasonal predictability beyond the MJO (A1-03)
14.15-14.30 Perlwitz, Judith: Characteristics of the QBO-stratospheric polar Vortex connection on multi-decadal time scales (A1-04)
14.30-14.45 Kim, Ha-Rim: Impact of statistically forecasted sea-ice boundary condition on the sub-seasonal prediction using atmospheric general circulation model (A1-05)
14.45-16.15 Coffee Break and Poster Session A1
16:15-17.45 S2S session Theme A1 (cont.)
Chair: Frédéric Vitart
Rapporteur: Simon Peatman
16.15-16.30 Cheng, Yuan-Ming: Intraseasonal Variability of African Easterly Wave (A1-06)
16:30-16.45 Dias, Juliana: Diagnosing sources of operational forecast model errors in tropical-extratropical interactions(A1-07)
16.45-17.00 Lee, Robert: ENSO modulation of MJO teleconnection to the North Atlantic & Europe and implications for subseasonal predictability (A1-08)
17.00-17.15 Stan, Cristiana: The impact of Northern Hemisphere mid-latitude variability on tropical teleconnections (A1-09)
17.15-17.30 Lin, Hai: Predicting the dominant patterns of subseasonal variability of wintertime surface air temperature in extratropical Northern Hemisphere (A1-10)
17.30-17.45 Grams, Christian: The role of cloud diabatic processes in the life cycle of Atlantic-European weather regimes (A1-011)
13:15-14.45 S2D session Theme B1: Mechanisms of S2D predictability
Chair: Doug Smith
Rapporteurs: Roberto Bilbao & Leandro Baltasar Diaz
13.15-13.45 Robson, Jon (Keynote): On the mechanisms that give rise to predictability on Seasonal-to-decadal time-scales (B1-01)
13.45-14.00 Meehl, Gerald: Initialized decadal prediction for transition to positive phase of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and resumption of larger rates of global warming (B1-02)
14.00-14.15 Mochizuki, Takashi: Tropical Atlantic impacts on subdecadal variability in the Pacific (B1-03)
14.15-14.30 Lee, June-Yi: Multi-year predictability of total soil water, drought, and wildfire over the Globe (B1-04)
14.30-14.45 Anderson, Bruce: The Pacific Decadal Precession: Our current understanding of its dynamics, regional climate effects, and predictability (B1-05)
14.45-16.15 Coffee Break and Poster Session B1
16:15-17.45 S2D session Theme B1 (cont.)
Chair: Stephen Yeager
Rapporteur: Annika Reintges
16.15-16.30 Delworth, Thomas: Decadal variability and predictability in the Southern Ocean - implications for interpreting recent observed trends (B1-06)
16.30-16.45 Chapman, Christopher: Variability and teleconnections in the Indian Ocean: Mechanisms, predictability and climatic influence (B1-07)
16.45-17.00 Msadek, Rym: Dynamical and thermodynamical impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the European climate (B1-08)
17:00-17.15 Engelbrecht, François: Antarctic stratospheric ozone and seasonal predictability over southern Africa (B1-09)
17.15-17.30 Ruprich-Robert, Yohan: Impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the tropical climate and tropical cyclone activity (B1-10)
17.30-17.45 Patricola, Christina: Oceanic and atmospheric sources of seasonal tropical cyclone predictability (B1-11)
18.00-20:00 Conference Reception at Center Green sponsored by UCAR, NCAR, and the Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory

TUESDAY 18 SEPTEMBER

8.30-17.45 Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B
 

S2S session Theme A2:
Modelling issues in S2S prediction
North and Center CG

S2D session Theme B1 (cont.)/
B2 Modelling issues in S2D prediction
FL auditorium (streaming South CG)

8.30-10.30 S2S session Theme A2: Modelling issues in S2S prediction
Chair: Anca Brookshaw
Rapporteur: Benjamin Green

8.30-9.00 Takaya, Yuhei (Keynote): The art and science in sub-seasonal forecast system design (A2-01)
9.00-9.15 Buizza, Roberto: Initialisation and model error simulation in the ECMWF coupled ensembles (A2-02)
9.15-9.30 Saha, Suranjana: Development of a unified forecast system at NCEP for S2S prediction (A2-03)
9.30-9.45 Sardeshmukh, Prashant: Sufficient resolution for S2S predictions (A2-04)
9.45-10.00 Hong, Song-You: Seasonal prediction experiments in a global coupled system based on a non-hydrostatic global atmospheric model (A2-05)
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-12.00 S2S session Theme A2 (cont.) / Theme A3:  S2S ensemble predictions and forecast information
Chair: Cécile Penland
Rapporteur: Roseanna McKay
10.30-10.45 Benjamin, Stan: Toward reducing cloud-radiation errors from Day 1 to Week 4 Prediction (A2-06)
10.45-11.00 Kim, Daehyun: Mean state bias, cloud-radiation feedbacks, and MJO prediction skill in the S2S models (A2-07)
11.00-11.15 Kim, Hyemi: Process-based MJO hindcast evaluation in SubX (A2-08)
11.15-11.30 DeMott, Charlotte: The ocean-atmosphere dialog in the MJO: Physical processes vs. systematic biases in forecast models(A2-09)
11.30-12.00 Ferranti, Laura (Keynote): How far in advance can we predict changes in large-scale flow leading to severe cold conditions over Europe? (A3-01)
8.30-10.30 S2D session Theme B1 (cont.)
Chair: June-Yi Lee
Rapporteurs: Jennifer Mecking & Ching Ho Justin Ng
8.30-8.45 Maroon, Elizabeth: Sources of skill in decadal predictions of Sahel precipitation (B1-12)
8.45-9.00 Dewes, Candida: Projected Changes in S2D Hydroclimate Predictability in North America in CESM-LE (B1-13)
9:00-9.15 Webster, Peter: ENSO: towards breaching the springtime predictability barrier(B1-14)
9.15-9.30 Alessandri, Andrea: Multiscale enhancement of climate prediction over land by increasing the model sensitivity to vegetation variability (B1-15)
9.30-9.45

Ardilouze, Constantin: Investigating the impact of soil moisture on European summer climate predictions (B1-16)

9.45-10.00 Beverley, Jonathan: The northern hemisphere circumglobal teleconnection in a seasonal forecast model and its relationship to European summer forecast skill (B1-17)
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-12.00 S2D session Theme B2 Modelling issues in S2D prediction
Chair: Johanna Baehr
Rapporteur: Douglas Miller
10.30-11.00 Mueller, Wolfgang (Keynote): Demands on the MPI Earth System Model to perform seasonal-to-decadal climate predictions (B2-01)
11.00-11.15 Barrie, Daniel: Process-Oriented Model Diagnosis to Improve Modeling Systems (B2-02)
11.15-11.30 Siongco, Angela Cheska: Diagnosing the sources of systematic SST biases in CESM using ensemble seasonal hindcasts(B2-03)
11.30-11.45 Molteni, Franco: Estimating errors in model variability: a comparison between seasonal re-forecasts and continuous multi-decadal simulations with the ECMWF coupled model (B2-04)
11.45-12.00  Keenlyside, Noel: Approaches to reduce model biases to improve in climate prediction (B2-05)
12.00-13.15 Lunch
 

S2S session Theme A3:
S2S ensemble predictions and forecast information
North and Center CG

S2D session Theme B2 (cont.)/
B3 S2D ensemble predictions and forecast information
FL auditorium (streaming South CG)

13.15-14.45 S2S session Theme A3 (cont.)
Chair: Thomas M. Hamill
Rapporteurs: Felipe Andrade & Christoph Renkl

13.15-13.30 Coelho, Caio: A verification framework for South American sub-seasonal precipitation predictionss (A3-02)
13:30-13:45 Munoz, Angel G: How much can Model Output Statistics improve sub-seasonal predictive skill? (A3-03)
13.45-14.00 Berner, Judith: Regime-dependent predictability and forecast error spectra of initialized forecasts (A3-04)
14.00-14.15 Barnes, Elizabeth: Advancing atmospheric river and blocking forecasts into subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales (A3-05)
14.15-14.30 Collins, Dan: Identifying the capacity of dynamical models to forecast subseasonal extremes: Multi-model ensembles (A3-06)
14.30-14.45 Pegion, Kathy: The Subseasonal Experiment (SubX) (A3-07)
14.45-16.15 Coffee Break and Poster Session A2, A3
 16.15-17.45 S2S session Theme A3 (cont.)
Chair: Cristiana Stan
Rapporteurs: Michael DeFlorio & Mariano Alvarez
16.15-16.30 Yoo, Changhyun: Subseasonal prediction of wintertime East Asian temperature based on atmospheric teleconnections (A3-08)
16.30-16.45 Batté, Lauriane: Forecasting springtime Sahelian heat waves at seasonal and sub-seasonal time scales (A3-09)
16.45-17.00 Toma, Violeta: Advances in operational sub seasonal prediction of heat and cold waves for U.S. cities (A3-10)
17.00-17.15 Plans for Phase 2 R2O and database
17.15-17:45 Discussion (30 min)
13.15-14.45  S2D session Theme B2 (cont.)
Chair: Asmerom Beraki
Rapporteur: Katharina Isensee

13.15-13.30 Johnson, Stephanie: SEAS5: The new ECMWF seasonal forecast system (B2-06)
13.30-13.45 Paxian, Andrea: The German Climate Forecast System GCFS2.0(B2-07)
13.45-14.00 Wang, Yiguo: Development and current S2D prediction skill of the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model (B2-08)
14.00-14.15 O'Reilly, Christopher: The importance of stratospheric initial conditions on wintertime seasonal predictability in the Euro-Atlantic sector and implications for the signal-to-noise paradox (B2-09)
14.15-14.30 Bethke, Ingo: Subtropical North Atlantic preconditioning key to skillful subpolar gyre prediction (B2-10)
14.30-14.45 Kadow, Christopher: Can decadal climate predictions be improved by ocean ensemble dispersion filtering? Any impact on seasonal predictions? (B2-11)
14.45-16.15 Coffee Break and Poster Session B2, B3
 16.15-17.45 S2D session Theme B2 (cont.) / Theme B3: S2D ensemble predictions and forecast information
Chair: Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda
Rapporteur: Johnna Infanti
16.15-16.30 Polkova, Iuliia: Climate-mode initialization for decadal predictions (B2-12)
16.30-16.45 Kitsios, Vassili: Application of normal mode functions for the improved balance in the CAFE data assimilation system and characterisation of modes of variability (B2-13)
16.45-17.15 Yeager, Steve (Keynote): Near-term hydroclimate outlooks based on the CESM Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble (B3-01)
17.15-17.30 Deser, Clara: How early could the current La Niña have been predicted? (B3-02)
17.30-17.45 Luo, Jing-Jia: Multi-year ENSO prediction (B3-03)
19.00 Social Evening for Early Career Researchers (registration required - contact Matthias Tuma for details)

WEDNESDAY 19 SEPTEMBER

8.30-17:45 Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B
 

S2S session Theme A4:
S2S forecasts for decision making
North and Center CG

S2D Session Theme B3 (cont.)/
B4
S2D forecasts for decision making
FL auditorium (streaming South CG)

8.30-10.30 S2S session Theme A4: S2S forecasts for decision making
Chair: Kathy Pegion
Rapporteur:
Corry Baggett
8.30-9.00 White, Chris (Keynote): Applications of sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) predictions (A4-01)
9.00-9.15 Baker, Sarah: Developing new watershed-based climate forecast products for hydrologists and water managers(A4-02)
9.15- 9.30 Bazile, Rachel: Improving the predictability of streamflow for hydropower production in Canada using S2S ensemble meteorological forecasts (A4-03)
9.30-9.45 Waliser, Duane: Experimental sub-seasonal forecasting of atmospheric river variations for the western U.S. during Winters 2017-2018 and 2018-2019 (A4-04)
9.45-10.00 Büeler, Dominik: Stratospheric influences on European month-ahead wind power generation and its predictability on subseasonal time scales (A4-05)
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-12.00 S2S session Theme A4 (cont.)
Chair: Nicholas Klingaman
Rapporteur: Yongqiang Sun

10.30-10.45

Manrique Suñén, Andrea: Sub-seasonal to seasonal climate predictions for energy: the S2S4E project (A4-06)
10.45-11.00 Vintzileos, Augustin: Excessive heat events and health: Building resilience based on global scale subseasonal-to-seasonal excessive heat outlook systems (A4-07)
11.00-11.15 Wood, Andrew: Using hydrologic prediction skill elasticity to quantify the benefits of s2s climate information for hydrologic forecasting (A4-08)
11.15-11.30 Plans for S2S Phase 2 Applications
11.30-12.00 Discussion (30 min) Application in S2S Phase 2
8.30-10.30

S2D Session Theme B3 (cont.)
Chair: Lauriane Batté
Rapporteur: Nele-Charlottte Neddermann

8.30-8.45 Smith, Doug: How skilful are decadal climate predictions? (B3-04)
8.45-9.00 Grieger, Jens: Evaluation of re-calibrated decadal hindcast using a common verification framework (B3-05)
9.00-9.15 Squire, Dougal: Skill assessment of the CSIRO multi-year Climate Analysis Forecast Ensemble system (B3-06)
9.15-9.30 Becker, Emily: Prediction of short-term climate extremes using the North American Multi-Model Ensemble (B3-07)
9.30-9.45 Osman, Marisol: Calibration and Combination of NMME precipitation forecast over South America using Ensemble Regression (B3-08)
9.45-10.00 Acharya, Nachiketa: Evaluating a new calibration method for Seasonal Probabilistic Prediction for Indian Summer Monsoon (B3-09)
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-12.00 S2D Session Theme B3 (cont.) / Theme B4: S2D forecasts for decision making
Chair: Tatiana Ilyina
Rapporteurs Balakrishnan Solaraju Murali

10.30-10.45 Dobrynin, Mikhail: Potential of combined statistical-dynamical sub-sampling approach (B3-10)
10.45-11.00 Shin, Sang-Ik: Room for Improvement in Seasonal-to-Decadal Climate Prediction (B3-11)
11.00-11.30 Tommasi, Desiree (Keynote): Climate Predictions for Fisheries Applications (B4-01)
11.30-11.45 Tourigny, Etienne: Application of operational seasonal prediction systems for seasonal prediction of fire danger: a case study of the extreme wildfire events in California, Spain and Portugal of 2017 (B4-02)
11.45-12.00 Hoell, Andrew: Using Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecast Guidance to Support Famine Early Warning Systems Network International Food Security Assessments (B4-03)
12.00-13.15 Lunch
 

S2S Session Themes A7/A8:
Stratosphere/Chemistry

North and Center CG

S2D session B4 (cont.)/
B5: Hindcast and forecast quality assessment

FL auditorium (streaming South CG)

13.15-14.45 

S2S Session Themes A7/A8: Stratosphere/Chemistry
Chair: Judith Perlwitz
Rapporteur: Hannah Attard

13.15-13.45 Pawson, Steven (Keynote): Impacts of NASA’s Earth Observations on subseasonal and seasonal forecasts (A7-01)
13.45-14.15 Butler, Amy (Keynote): The role of the stratosphere in sub-seasonal to seasonal predictability (A8-01)
14.15-14.30 Alexander, M Joan: Effect of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings on Subseasonal Prediction Skill in the NASA S2S Forecast System (A8-02)
14.30-14.45 Karpechko, Alexey: Predictability of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in sub-seasonal forecast models (A8-03)
14.45-16.15 Coffee Break and Poster Session A4, A7, A8
16.15-17.45 S2S Session Themes A8 (cont.)
Chair: Steven Woolnough
Rapporteur: Nick Byrne
16.15-16.30 Domeisen, Daniela: The role of stratosphere - troposphere coupling in sub-seasonal to seasonal prediction using the S2S database (A8-04)
16.30-16.45 Charlton-Perez, Andrew: A signal and noise analysis of stratosphere-troposphere coupling in the S2S models A8-05)
16.45-17.45 Discussion (1 hr)
13.15-14.45  S2D Session Theme B4 (cont.)
Chair: William Merryfield
Rapporteur: Sam Grainger

13.15-13.30 Kapnick, Sarah: 8-Month Snowpack Prediction Potential (B4-04)
13.30-13.45 Lehner, Flavio: Harnessing NMME predictions to support seasonal hydrologic prediction (B4-05)
13.45-14.00 Done, James: UDECIDE: Understanding Decision-Climate Interactions on Decadal Scales(B4-06)
14.00-14.15 Towler, Erin: Incorporating decadal predictions into water management (B4-07)
14.15-14.30 Brookshaw, Anca: Seasonal and decadal prediction services of the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) - current status and plans for the future (B4-08)
14.30-14.45 Kolstad, Erik: Co-production of seasonal forecasts: experiences from Norway (B4-09)
14.45-16.15 Coffee Break and Poster Session B4, B5, B6
16.15-17.45 S2D Session Theme B5: Hindcast and forecast quality assessment
Chair: Ben Kirtman
Rapporteur: Klaus Pankatz
16.15-16.45 DelSole, Timothy (Keynote): Recent Developments in Forecast Quality Assessment (B5-01)
16.45-17.00 Volpi, Danila: Robust evaluation of seasonal forecast quality using teleconnections (B5-02)
17.00 -17.15 Strommen, Kristian: Signal and noise in regime systems: understanding NAO predictability (B5-03)
17.15-17:30 Sospedra-Alfonso, Reinel: Canonical skill analysis of tropical Pacific variability in the CCCma decadal hindcasts (B5-04)
17.30-17.45 Düsterhus, André: An advanced score for evaluating seasonal forecast skill (B5-05)

THURSDAY 20 SEPTEMBER

8.30-12.00 Parallel Sessions: Themes A and B
 

S2S Themes A5/A6:
Ocean and land Initialization and processes
North and Center CG

S2D Theme B5 (cont.)/
B6
Frontiers in earth system prediction
FL auditorium (streaming South CG)

8.30-10.30 S2S Themes A5/A6: Ocean and land Initialization and processes
Chair: Suranjana Saha
Rapporteur: Constantin Ardilouze & Partha Bhattacharjee
8.30-9.00 Dirmeyer, Paul (Keynote): The Land Surface “Sweet Spot” Between Weather and Climate (A5-01)
9.00-9.30 Saravanan, Ramalingam (Keynote): The role of the midlatitude ocean in sub-seasonal prediction (A5-02)
9.30-9.45 Davis, Philip: An improved approach to land-surface initialization in the Met Office's Global Seasonal Forecasting System (GloSea) (A5-03)
9.45-10.00 Tuinenburg, Obbe: Land-surface initialisation affects Indian monsoon subseasonal predictabilityLand-surface initialisation affects Indian monsoon subseasonal predictability (A5-04)
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-12.00 S2S Themes A5/A6: Ocean and land Initialization and processes
Chair: Duane Waliser
Rapporteur: Nicolas Vigaud
10.30-10.45 Subramanian, Aneesh: Impact of ocean observation systems on ocean analyses and subseasonal forecasts (A6-01)
10.45-11.00 Zhang, Chidong: Sea Ice and Filling Data Gaps for S2S Prediction (A6-02)
11.00-12.00 Discussion (1hr, including impact of observing system)
8.30-10.30 S2D Theme B5 (cont.) / B6 Frontiers in earth system prediction
Chair: Emily Becker
Rapporteurs: Aaron Spring & Takahito Kataoka

8.30-8.45 Caron, Louis-Philippe: How skillful are the multi-annual forecasts of Atlantic hurricane activity? (B5-06)
8.45-9:00 Tietsche, Steffen: Making sense of seasonal sea-ice forecasts (B5-07)
9.00-9.30 Li, Hongmei (Keynote): Decadal predictability of the ocean carbon uptake variation (B6-01)
9.30-9.45 Ilyina, Tatiana: Integration of carbon cycle components into ESM-based prediction systems (B6-02)
9.45-10.00 Park, Jong-yeon: Seasonal to multi-annual marine biogeochemical prediction using GFDL’s Earth System Model (B6-03)
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-12.00 S2D Theme B6 (cont.)
Chair: Wolfgang Mueller
Rapporteur: Nicholas Wayand
10.30-10.45 Lovenduski, Nicole: A change in the forecast: Ocean biogeochemistry over the next decade (B6-04)
10.45-11.00 Long, Matthew: Predicting ocean oxygen: capabilities and potential (B6-05)
11.00-11.15 Rodgers, Keith: Application of Earth system modeling tools to explore predictability of marine ecosystem stressors (B6-06)
11.15-11.30 Bushuk, Mitch: Regional Arctic sea-ice prediction: Potential versus operational seasonal forecast skill (B6-07)
11.30-11.45 Sigmond, Michael: Skillful seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice retreat and advance dates in a dynamical forecast system (B6-08)
11.45-12.00 Imada, Yukiko: ENSO prediction using an earth system model incorporating a high-resolution tropical ocean nesting model (B6-09)
12.00-13.15 Lunch
13.15-17.45

Common S2S/S2D Sessions - CG auditorium

13.15-14.45 Chair: Francisco Doblas-Reyes
Rapporteurs: Cristina Recalde & Georgios Fragkoulidis
  Session C1: Initialization, initialization shock, model errors
13.15-13.45 Karspeck, Alicia (Keynote): Climate Model initialization for near-term climate prediction: A survey of recent advances and anticipated trends (C1-01)
13.45-14.00 Balmaseda, Magdalena: Non-linear and non-stationary forecast errors: should we revisit the current forecast strategies? (C1-02)
14.00-14.15 O’Kane, Terence: Coupled data assimilation and ensemble initialization with application to multi-year ENSO prediction (C1-03)
14.15-14.30 Kirtman, Ben: Sub-seasonal to Decadal Predictability and Prediction with an Ocean Eddy Resolving Global Coupled Model(C1-04)
  Session C2: Research to operations
14.30-14.45 Christensen, Hannah: From reliable initialised forecasts to skilful climate projection: a dynamical systems approach (C2-01)
14.45-16.15 Coffee Break and Poster Session A5, A6, C1, C2, C3
 16.15-17.45 Chair: Arun Kumar
Rapporteur: Momme Hell
16.15-16.45 Hudson, Debbie (Keynote): Moving from concept to climate service; how we can meet the needs of a climate smart community? (C2-02)
16.45-17.00 Reynolds, Carolyn: US Navy’s Earth System Prediction Capability Effort (C2-03)
17.00-17.15 Crawford, Todd: Transferring Science to practice: nearly two decades of seasonal forecasting for weather-sensitive industry (C2-04)
  Session C3: Time Scale interactions
17.15-17.30 Koh, Tieh Yong: Multi-scale interactions in a high-resolution tropical-belt experiment using WRP model (C3-01)
17.30-17.45 Wang, Simon: North America winter circulation regime change and implications on S2S/S2D (C3-02)
19.00
Early Career Researcher Meet-and-Greet with senior scientists  (registration required - contact Matthias Tuma for details)"

FRIDAY 21 SEPTEMBER

8.30-12.00

Common S2S/S2D Sessions - CG auditorium

8.30-10.30 Chair: Roberto Buizza
Rapporteurs: Carly Tozer & Muhammad Azhar Ehsan
  Session C3 (cont.)
8.30-9.00 Kimoto, Masahide (Keynote): Predictability of blocking and tropical cyclone activities? An assessment with a large ensemble simulation (C3-03)
9.00-9.15 Woollings, Tim: Relating winter NAO skill to jet variability across timescales (C3-04)
9.15-9.30 Weisheimer, Antje: Seasonal Forecasts of the 20th Century: Multi-Decadal Variability in Predictive Skill of the Winter NAO (C3-05)
9.30-9.45 Henderson, Stephanie: The role of tropical-extratropical interactions on the optimal growth of Madden-Julian Oscillation events (C3-06)
9.45-10.00 Karmakar, Nirupam: Impact of intraseasonal oscillations on onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall(C3-07)
10.00-10.30 Coffee Break
10.30-12.00

Wrap up discussions

Chair: Gokhan Danabasoglu & Frédéric Vitart
Rapporteur: Albert Osso