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Second International Conference on Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction (S2S) and
Second International Conference on Seasonal to Decadal Prediction (S2D)

 

Poster sessions

  Center Green
14.45 - 16.15
Foothills Lab
14.45 - 16.15
  Sessions Sessions
Monday 17 Sept.  - A1 - Mechanisms of S2S predictability B1 - Mechanisms of S2D predictability
Tuesday 18 Sept.  - A2 - Modelling issues in S2S prediction
 - A3 - S2S ensemble predictions and forecast information
B2 - Modelling issues in S2D prediction
B3 - S2D ensemble predictions and forecast information
Wednesday 19 Sept.  - A4 - S2S forecasts for decision making
  - A7 -Aerosols
  - A8 - Stratosphere
B4 - S2D forecasts for decision making
B5 - Hindcast and forecast quality assessment B6 - Frontiers in earth system prediction
Thursday 20 Sept.  - A5 -Land initialization and processes
 - A6 - Ocean initialization and processes
 - C1 - Initialization initialization shock and model error (includes data assimilation)
 - C2 - Research to operation (includes seamless prediction)
 - C3 - Time scale interaction (includes teleconnections)
 

 

Abstract book for poster presentations

 

List of posters presentations by alphabetical order

 

Name Abstract Title Poster Numbers Day Where
Abid, Muhammad Adnan Enhancement of the late boreal winter Lead Time Predictability over the Extratropical Region P-A1-01 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Achuthavarier, Deepthi Mechanisms and predictability of the MJO teleconnection signals in the NASA GEOS-5 subseasonal reforecasts P-A1-02 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Albers, John Isolating stratospheric versus tropical diabatic heating based sources of subseasonal predictive skill P-A1-03 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Alessandri, Andrea Grand European and Asian-Pacific Multi-model Seasonal Forecasts: Maximization of Skill and of Potential Economical Value to End-users P-B3-01 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Alessandri, Andrea Proposal for an international project aimed at quantifying the impact of land Earth system processes and feedbacks on seasonal climate forecasts (GLACE-ESM) P-B6-01 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Alvarez, Mariano Validation of the leading pattern of intraseasonal variability in South America in CFSv2 and its predictability in subseasonal predictions P-A3-01 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Anderson, Bruce A seamless verification framework to estimate the predictability of climate means and extremes across timescales P-C2-01 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Andrade, Felipe Global precipitation hindcast quality assessment of the Subseasonal to Seasonal (S2S) prediction project models P-A3-02 Tuesday 18 Sept. Center Green
Ardilouze, Constantin Reduction of model precipitation bias and impact on summer prediction skill P-A5-01 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Athanasiadis, Panagiotis The impact of reduced sea ice in the Barents/Kara seas on midlatitude wintertime atmospheric circulation and predictability in a seasonal prediction system. CANCELLED P-A6-01 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Attard, Hannah The Relationship Between Tropospheric Synoptic-Scale Events and Vertical Wave Activity Flux Near the Tropopause P-A8-01 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Baehr, Johanna Should initial conditions for decadal predictions be as close as possible to observations? P-C1-01 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Baggett, Cory Skillful five week forecasts of tornado and hail activity P-A2-01 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Baggett, Cory A process-oriented evaluation of the model errors associated with atmospheric river activity along the West Coast of North America P-A3-03 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Barreiro, Marcelo Air-sea interaction in the impact of the MJO on South American climate P-A1-04 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Batté, Lauriane Assessment of the forecast skill of precipitation over New Caledonia (SW Pacific) at the subseasonal time scale P-A3-04 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Batté, Lauriane A multi-system evaluation of predictive capacity over the Arctic and mid-latitudes at the seasonal time scale P-B1-01 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Benedict, James MJO-atmospheric river connections and their sensitivity to air-sea coupling across a CESM2 hierarchy P-A1-05 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Beraki, Asmerom Examining the role SH sea-ice forcing on southern Africa rainfall extreme variability: Model sensitivity experiment P-C3-01 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Bernardello, Raffaele Impact of different inizialization procedures on the decadal predictability of ocean carbon uptake. P-B6-02 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Berner, Judith Improved ENSO predictability in CCSM4 simulations with stochastic parameterization P-C3-02 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Bethke, Ingo A minimalistic damped harmonic oscillator framework for assessing decadal climate predictability in the Subpolar North Atlantic P-B1-02 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Bhattacharjee, Partha Sarathi Study of Sub-Seasonal Predictability using the Unified Forecast System at NCEP P-A3-25 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Bilbao, Roberto Forecasting the climate response to volcanic eruptions P-B1-03 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Borchert, Leonard Variable Decadal Temperature Prediction Skill in the North Atlantic: The Role of Ocean Heat Transport P-B1-04 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Bosart, Lance Clustered and Quasi-Simultaneous Extreme Weather Events on Subseasonal Time Scales P-A1-06 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Byrne, Nick Seasonal persistence of circulation anomalies in the Southern Hemisphere stratosphere, and its implications for the troposphere P-A8-02 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Caron, Julie Fully Coupled Sub­Seasonal
to Seasonal Forecasts in CESM
P-A2-02 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Caron, Louis-Philippe The Barcelona Supercomputing Center's contribution to the EUCP project P-B3-02 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Castro, Christopher The Skill of Statistically Forecasting the Early Monsoon Onset in the Southwestern United States at a Subseasonal to Seasonal Time Scale P-A4-01 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Castro, Christopher Toward Improvement in Seasonal Forecasting in the Southwest United States Using Regional Climate Product at Convective-Permitting Scale P-B2-01 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Chandra, Arunchandra Predictability of Heat Waves Over South Asia in the participated models of Subseasonal Experiment P-A1-07 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Chikamoto, Megumi Mechanisms and predictability of multiyear ecosystem variability in the North Pacific P-B6-03 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu Multi-year prediction of climate, drought, and wildfire in southwestern North America using CESM P-B1-05 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Christensen, Hannah Predictability, information, and probabilistic skill in the CESM Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble P-B3-03 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Cionni, Irene Analysing the uncertainty of reanalyses to assess the predictability at S2S time-scales of key climate and energy variables for the energy sector. P-A4-02 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Corti, Susanna Decadal variability in weather regimes and teleconnections in reanalysis datasets and century long hindcasts. P-C3-03 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Counillon, François Assimilation of sea ice in an Earth system model and its impacts for climate prediction P-A2-03 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Curry, Judith Predictability of phase shifts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation P-B1-06 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Curry, Judith Seasonal to interannual predictability and prediction of Atlantic hurricane activity P-B4-01 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Dai, Ying Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Pacific SSTs around 1990 and the persistent warm period in the 1990s P-B3-04 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
DeFlorio, Michael Global multi-model evaluation of atmospheric river subseasonal prediction skill P-A3-05 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Díaz, Leandro Baltasar Co-variability between summer southeastern South America rainfall anomalies and tropical sea surface temperatures anomalies in CMIP5 decadal predictions P-B1-07 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Ding, Hui Skillful climate forecasts of the tropical Indo-Pacific Ocean using model-analogs P-C1-02 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Diouf, Ibrahima The predictability of malaria: Case of Senegal, West Africa P-A2-04 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Dirmeyer, Paul Seamless transition from weather to climate – A method for forecast definition and validation P-A3-06 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Doi, Takeshi Merits of one hundred parallel simulations in seasonal prediction P-A3-07 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Doss-Gollin, James Heavy rainfall in Paraguay during the 2015-2016 austral summer: causes and sub-seasonal-to-seasonal predictive skill P-C3-04 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Dubois, Clotilde The Copernicus Marine Service Global Reanalysis Ensemble Product GREPV1: Validation of the ocean variability over the 1993-2016 period P-A6-02 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Dubois, Clotilde Sensitivity of the oceanic conditions for the seasonal forecast of Météo France P-C1-03 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Düsterhus, André The sub-sampling approach applied to the Summer North Atlantic Oscillation P-B1-08 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Düsterhus, André Another view on ensemble subsampling: Are more ensemble members always better? P-B3-05 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar Interannual variability and predictability assessment of JJA surface air temperature over the Arabian Peninsula in North American Multimodel Ensemble. P-B5-01 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Ehsan, Muhammad Azhar On the decreasing Arabian Peninsula Winter Precipitation and its teleconnections P-C3-05 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Engelbrecht, Christien Accuracy and skill of subseasonal prediction of heat waves over southern Africa and associated atmospheric circulation characteristics P-A1-09 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Faggiani Dias, Daniela Statistical prediction of minimum and maximum air temperature in the Western North America P-B4-02 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Faggiani Dias, Daniela Remote and Local Influences in Forecasting Pacific SST: a Linear Inverse Model and the NMME Multimodel Ensemble Study P-C3-06 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Fragkoulidis, Georgios Linking Northern Hemisphere temperature extremes to Rossby wave packets P-A1-10 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Fujii, Yosuke Development of a global ocean and coupled data assimilation system for subseasonal to seasonal forecasts in Japan Meteorological Agency. P-A6-03 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Furtado, Jason The Combined Influence of the MJO and the Stratospheric Polar Vortex on Northern Hemisphere Winter Weather Patterns P-A8-03 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Furtado, Jason The South Pacific Meridional Mode and Its Role in Pacific Seasonal-to-Decadal Variability P-B1-09 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Furtado, Jason PRES2iP: Prediction of Rainfall Extremes at Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Periods P-C2-02 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Gao, Miaoni Are Peak Summer Sultry Heat Wave Days over the Yangtze–Huaihe River Basin Predictable? P-A1-11 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Ghosh, Soumik Aspect of GCM downscaled Regional Climate Modeling in simulating Spatiotemporal monsoon variability during ENSO and normal conditions and dependencies on boundary conditions P-C1-04 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Gonzalez, Alex The Modulation of Equatorial Wave Activity by the Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation: Assessing S2S Model Prediction Skill P-A1-12 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Grainger, Sam Characterising seasonal climate predictability and uncertainty through expert elicitation P-B1-10 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Grainger, Sam On the use of seasonal climate forecasts in the Chinese energy sector P-B4-03 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Grams, Christian M. Balancing Europe’s wind power output through spatial deployment informed by weather regimes P-A4-03 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Green, Benjamin FIM-iHYCOM in SubX: Evaluation of Model Errors and MJO Index Skill P-A2-05 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Grieger, Jens Model selection for DeFoReSt: a strategy for recalibrating decadal predictions. P-B3-06 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Gritsun, Andrey Potential predictability of the INMCM4 and INMCM5 climate models on decadal timescales P-B5-02 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Guo, Zhichang Improving S2S forecast skill of precipitation and surface air temperature using multi-model strategy P-A3-08 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Hamill, Thomas M. NOAA's Reanalysis and Reforecast Project for Subseasonal Forecasting P-A3-09 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Hell, Momme Atmospheric Circulation Response to Episodic Arctic Warming in an Idealized Model P-A1-13 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Hirahara, Shoji Developing the next-generation operational seasonal forecast system at JMA P-B2-02 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Hoell, Andrew Exploring Nonstationarities in East Africa Seasonal Precipitation Predictability P-B1-11 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Huang, Anning Skill of the BCC S2S Forecast System in Predicting the Subseasonal Rainfall over China in Summer and Model Bias Correction P-A2-06 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Inatsu, Masaru An alternative estimate of potential predictability on the Madden-Julian Oscillation phase space using S2S models P-A3-10 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Inatsu, Masaru Predictability of wintertime stratospheric circulation examined by non-stationary fluctuation dissipation relation. P-A8-04 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Infanti, Johnna A comparison of CCSM4 high-resolution and low-resolution predictions for south Florida drought P-B2-03 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Isensee, Katharina The post-processing chain of GCFS seasonal forecast data for C3S P-B2-04 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Johnson, Bradford National Earth System Prediction Capability: Metrics, Post-processing, and Products for Seasonal to Subseasonal Workshop P-B5-03 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Joshi, Sneh Simulations of the Asian summer monsoon in the subseasonal to seasonal scale P-A1-14 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Jung, Euihyun Influence of Arctic Predictability on Mid-latitudes Seasonal Forecasts P-A3-11 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Kadow, Christopher Assessing the Impact of a Future Volcanic Eruption on Decadal Predictions P-B1-12 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kadow, Christopher A skill assessment of the extratropical circulation in the high-res and low-res MiKlip decadal prediction system P-B2-05 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kamal, Samy The Regional Arctic System Model (RASM): A tool to produce improved S2S to S2D Arctic sea ice forecasts P-A3-12 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Karmakar, Nirupam Multidecadal variability in the Indian summer monsoon and its connection with global sea surface temperature P-B1-13 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kataoka, Takahito New Ocean-Atmosphere Coupled Feedback in the Tropical Atlantic: Wind-Mixed Layer-SST Modes P-B1-14 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kataoka, Takahito Seasonal to Multi-Year Climate Hindcast Experiments by MIROC models P-B5-04 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kelley, Colin Differences in timescales of rainfall predictability for six countries, within agricultural context P-A4-04 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Kessler, James Using Seasonal Forecasts to Drive a Great Lakes Hydrodynamic/Ice Model P-A2-07 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Kitsios, Vassili Stochastic subgrid turbulence parameterisation maintaining resolution independent statistics for all spatial scales over decadal timescales P-B2-06 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Klemm, Toni Assessing User Needs and Model Accuracy of Seasonal Climate Forecasts for Winter Wheat Producers in the South-Central United States P-A4-05 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Klingaman, Nicholas Subseasonal and seasonal predictions of West Pacific tropical cyclones P-A3-13 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Kolstad, Erik Time scales and sources of European temperature variability P-B1-15 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kolstad, Erik Seasonal Prediction of Temperatures in Europe from Arctic Sea Surface Temperatures P-B1-16 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kovach, Robin Impact of Satellite Sea Surface Salinity Observations on ENSO Predictions from the GMAO S2S Forecast System P-A6-04 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Kretschmer, Marlene Using causal discovery algorithms to evaluate Troposphere-Stratosphere linkages in the ECMWF forecast model P-A8-05 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Kröger, Jürgen Full-field initialized decadal predictions with the MPI earth system model: an initial shock in the North Atlantic P-C1-05 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Kumar, Sanjiv Potential reemergence of seasonal soil moisture anomalies in North America P-B1-17 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Kumi, Naomi Evaluation of ECMWF S2S models in Predicting Rainfall Onset over West Africa P-A4-06 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Lang, Andrea Winter 2017/18 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Hits and False Alarms in S2S Forecasts P-A8-06 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Lee, Chia-Ying Tropical cyclone prediction skills - MJO dependence in S2S dataset P-A3-14 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Lee, Hyun-Ju
Skill assessment of Seasonal forecast for temperature and precipitation extremes based on APCC Multimodel Ensemble P-A3-15 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Lee, Yun-Young Representation of NAO/PNA activity reliant on ENSO phase in dynamical seasonal prediction models P-B2-07 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Lefort, Thierry Experimenting a sub-seasonal prediction bulletin as part of the CREWS-Burkina Faso project P-A4-07 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Lenton, Andrew Initialisation of the ocean carbon cycle in the CAFE system - CANCELLED P-C1-06 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Li, Fei Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Forecasts with the Norwegian Climate Prediction Model P-A5-02 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Li, Qian A mechanism of mixed-layer formation in the Indo-western Pacific Southern Ocean: preconditioning by an eddy-driven jet-scale overturning circulation P-A2-08 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Li, Qian Response of Southern Ocean Mixed Layer Depth to the Southern Annular Mode on seasonal to interannual timescales from an eddy-resolving ocean model P-B1-18 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Li, Qiaoping Seasonal prediction of the Asian summer Monsoon by BCC_CSM1.1 (m). CANCELLED P-A3-16 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Liu, Maofeng Towards Dynamical Seasonal Forecasting of Extratropical Transition in the North Atlantic P-B3-07 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Liu, Yiling A framework for decadal prediction assessment P-B5-05 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Liu,Zhenchen A conceptual prediction model for seasonal drought processes using atmospheric and oceanic standardized anomalies: application to regional drought processes in China P-B3-08 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Lledó, Llorenç Wind drought episodes in the US and Europe: the power of case studies. P-B4-04 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Luo, Jing-Jia Inter-basin source for two-year predictability of the prolonged La Niña event in 2010-2012 P-B1-19 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Mastrangelo, Daniele Verification of 2 years of CNR-ISAC subseasonal forecasts P-A3-17 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Matear, Richard Potential Predictability of the Tropical Pacific Ocean P-B6-04 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Materia, Stefano A multi-model approach for cold spell sub-seasonal prediction in Northern Turkey P-A4-08 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Matsueda, Mio Predictability of winter Pacific weather regimes and its connections with MJO on medium-range timescales P-A1-15 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Matsueda, Mio The S2S Museum – a website of ensemble forecast products – P-A3-18 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Mayer, Kirsten Additional Prediction Skill Provided by the MJO to Midlatitude Circulations on S2S Timescales P-A1-16 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
McKay, Roseanna Understanding the Role of the Indian Ocean in Recent Australian Heat Extremes P-A1-17 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Mecking, Jennifer The Role of the Ocean in the 2015 European Summer Heat Wave P-B1-20 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Merryfield, William Toward user-relevant monthly to seasonal forecasts of Arctic sea ice: The FRAMS project P-B4-05 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Merryfield, William WGSIP’s Long-Range Forecast Transient Intercomparison Project (LRFTIP) P-C1-07 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Miller, Douglas Assessing Seasonal Predictability Sources in the Climate Forecast System Version 2 P-B2-08 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Miyakawa, Tomoki Ocean-coupled NICAM (NICOCO) and its application on MJO - El Niño interacting events. P-A1-18 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Mochizuki, Takashi Multiyear climate prediction using 4D-Var coupled data assimilation system P-C1-08 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Molod, Andrea GEOS S2S-2_1: The GMAO High Resolution Seasonal Prediction System P-A2-09 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Moore, Thomas Building a set of ocean observations for the initialisation and validation of the Climate Analysis Forecast Ensemble (CAFE) system P-B2-09 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Morioka, Yushi Decadal climate predictability in the southern Indian Ocean revealed by using SST-nudging initialization scheme P-B1-21 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Morioka, Yushi Role of subsurface ocean initialization in decadal climate predictability over the South Atlantic P-B1-22 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Munoz, Angel G A Seamless Process-based Model Evaluation Framework for Subseasonal-to-Decadal Timescales P-C3-09 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Murakami, Hiroyuki Dominant effect of relative tropical Atlantic warming on major hurricane occurrence in the North Atlantic: 2017 and the future. P-B4-06 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Nakano, Masuo Genesis of Super Cyclone Pam (2015): Modulation of Low-frequency Large-Scale Circulations and the Madden–Julian Oscillation by Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies P-A1-19 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Ndiaye, Ousmane Cancelled P-B5-06 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Neale, Richard Hindcast Simulations of the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) in CESM: Assessing the role of regional resolution variations and parameterized physics P-A2-10 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Neddermann, Nele-Charlotte Seasonal predictions of European summer climate re-assessed P-B1-23 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Newman, Matt Prospects for Year 2 climate forecasts with useful skill P-B2-10 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Ng, Ching Ho Justin An Asymmetric Rainfall Response to ENSO in East Asia P-B1-24 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Ngarukiyimana, Jean-Paul Seasonal rainfall Modulated by Topography and Indian Ocean Sea Surface Temperature in Rwanda. P-C3-07 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Ngarukiyimana, Jean-Paul Dominant atmospheric circulation patterns associated P-C3-08 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Nowak, Kenneth Sub-seasonal Climate Forecast Rodeo P-A3-19 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
O'Reilly, Christopher The impact of tropical precipitation on summertime Euro-Atlantic circulation via a circumglobal wave-train P-B1-25 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
O'Reilly, Christopher Interdecadal variability in seasonal forecast skill of Northern Hemisphere winters over the 20th century P-B3-09 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Oh, Ji-Hyun Assessing multi-model subseasonal prediction of winter blocking in East Asia P-A3-20 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Osso, Albert Observational evidence of European summer weather patterns predictable from spring P-B1-26 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Osso, Albert Impact of air-sea interaction on the NH summertime atmospheric mean state, interannual variability and the monsoon-desert mechanism P-C3-10 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Pankatz, Klaus MPI-ESM predictive skill of the PDO on decadal time scales P-B5-07 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Paxian, Andreas User needs and user-oriented products for decadal predictions: the MiKlip forecast webpage and the GPCC-DI drought index P-B4-07 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Peatman, Simon Impact of air-sea interactions on subseasonal prediction in the 2016 Indian summer monsoon P-A1-20 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Pegion, Kathy Performance-based MJO Hindcast Evaluation in SubX P-A1-21 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Peña, Malaquias S2S precipitation forecast for Ethiopia’s Water Management P-A4-09 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Penland, Cécile On the Skewed Nature of Ensemble Forecasts P-A3-21 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Pieper, Patrick Improved Seasonal Predictability of Droughts by Conditioning the Prediction on ENSO P-B3-10 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Pohlmann, Holger Influence of CMIP6 Forcing on Historical and Decadal Hindcast Simulations with MPI-ESM P-B2-11 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Quinting, Julian On the role of midlatitude warm conveyor belts in shaping MJO-midlatitude teleconnections P-A1-22 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Quinting, Julian Representation of synoptic-scale Rossby wave packets in the S2S prediction project database P-A2-11 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Raju Attada Cloud Resolving Modeling for Improved S2S Predictability of Arabian Peninsula Winter Rainfall P-A1-08 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Recalde, Gloria Evaluation of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on rainfall over the Northwest of South America P-A1-23 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Reintges, Annika Wind-Driven Hindcasts with the Kiel Climate Model: Variability and Teleconnections P-B1-27 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Renkl, Christoph Downscaling Subseasonal Predictions of Ocean Extremes P-A3-22 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Risbey, James Some pitfalls in understanding and interpretation of climate forecasts P-B4-08 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Robertson, Andrew Subseasonal predictability of precipitation and temperature over North America and relationships with teleconnection patterns P-A1-24 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Robertson, Andrew Subseasonal prediction of the Indian monsoon: Case study over Bihar P-A3-23 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Roundy, Paul Demonstration of method of seasonally varying regression slope coefficients to prediction of Corn Belt Region Rainfall P-A3-24 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Ruprich-Robert, Yohan Impacts of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on North American Summer Climate and Heat Waves P-B1-28 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Sandery, Paul Coupled reanalysis for forecast initialisation with an ETKF data assmilation system P-B3-11 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Sardeshmukh, Prashant Tropical SSTs: The Boon and Bane of S2D predictions P-B2-12 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Sardeshmukh, Prashant Lorenz and the nature of subseasonal to decadal predictability P-B6-05 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Schepen, Andrew Progress towards fully-calibrated daily forecasts of rainfall and temperature from GCMs P-A3-26 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Schepen, Andrew Harnessing dynamical seasonal climate forecasts for agricultural applications in Australia P-A4-10 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Solaraju Murali, Balakrishnan Assessing the added value of near-term decadal climate change information for decision making in agricultural sector P-B4-09 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Spangehl, Thomas Probabilistic evaluation of decadal predictions using a satellite simulator for SSM/I and SSMIS P-B5-08 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Spring, Aaron Variability and predictability of land and ocean carbon sinks assessed in MPI-ESM CO2 emission-driven simulations P-B6-06 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Spring, Aaron Impact of initial conditions perturbations on potential decadal predictability of ocean carbon fluxes assessed in MPI-ESM P-B6-07 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Strazzo, Sarah Harnessing skill from statistical and dynamical models to improve subseasonal forecasts: A Bayesian approach P-A3-27 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Sukumarapillai, Abhilash Role of Enhanced Synoptic Activity and its Interaction with Intra-seasonal oscillations on the lower extended range prediction skill P-A1-25 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Sukumarapillai, Abhilash Cyclogenesis Prediction in the Extended Range in a Multi-Model Framework : Application of a New Signal Amplification Technique to Improve Track Prediction. P-A3-28 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Sukumarapillai, Abhilash Towards the Development of the CFS based Grand Multi Model Ensemble prediction System and its Improved Skill Realized through Better Spread-Error Relationship P-A3-29 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Sun, Lantao Contribution of stratospheric processes to tropospheric predictive skill on subseasonal time scale in NCAR's CESM1 P-A1-26 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Sun, Shan Subseasonal Prediction Skill with an Icosahedral, Vertically Quasi-Lagrangian Coupled Model P-A2-12 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Sun, Shan Aerosol Impact on Subseasonal Prediction using FIM-Chem-iHYCOM Coupled Model P-A7-01 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Sun, Yongqiang Potential Sources for Extended Weather Predictability during NH Winter Season P-A1-27 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Takaya, Yuhei Seasonal to multi-annual predictions of Asian summer monsoons using an atmosphere-ocean-sea ice-land coupled model P-B3-12 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Tietsche, Steffen Atmospheric and oceanic sinks of Arctic predictability P-B1-29 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Tiwari, Pushp Raj On the predictability of precipitation over North India in S2S framework P-A4-11 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Tjiputra, Jerry Improved seasonal projection of regional ocean biogeochemical states through Ensemble data assimilation P-B6-08 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Tolstykh, Mikhail New version of the long-range forecast system at the Hydrometcentre of Russia P-B5-09 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Tolstykh, Mikhail Some results of studying initialization shock and drift in S2S database coupled models P-C1-09 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Tozer, Carly Diagnosing the atmospheric mechanisms that influence forecast skill of rainfall extremes P-A1-28 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Tseng, Kai-Chih Explaining the consistency of MJO teleconnection patterns with linear Rossby wave theory P-A1-29 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Tuinenburg, Obbe Optimizing N:P:K ratios in agricultural fertilizers based on seasonal predictions P-A4-12 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Turkington, Thea Use of Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Predictions for Extreme Temperature Forecasts over Singapore and the Surrounding Region P-A3-30 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Turkington, Thea S2S-SEA Workshop Series – lessons learnt and moving forward P-A4-13 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Vigaud, Nicolas Wintertime weather regimes over North America and their predictability from submonthly reforecasts P-A3-31 Tuesday 18 Sept. Center Green
Vigaud, Nicolas North American summer heat waves and modulations from the North Atlantic simulated by an AGCM P-B3-13 Tuesday 18 Sept. Foothills Lab
Villarini, Gabriele On the decadal predictions of flood events across the central United States P-B3-14 Tuesday 18 Sept. Foothills Lab
Villarini, Gabriele Extending the seasonal predictability of statistical dynamical streamflow forecasts P-B3-15 Tuesday 18 Sept. Foothills Lab
Vitart, Frederic Extended-range forecasting at ECMWF P-A3-32 Tuesday 18 Sept. Center Green
Vitart, Frederic The ECMWF land surface scheme and its initialisation in S2S reforecast applications P-A5-03 Thursday 20 Sept. Center Green
Vitart, Frederic Sub-seasonal prediction of aerosols fields and impact on meteorology using the ECMWF’s coupled Ensemble Prediction System P-A7-02 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Center Green
Wang, Shuguang Seasonal Noise Versus Subseasonal Signal: Forecasts of California Precipitation During the Unusual Winters of 2015–2016 and 2016–2017 P-A3-33 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Wang, Shuguang Prediction of MJO convection in the S2S hindcast dataset P-A3-34 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Wang, Xiaochun Evaluating Northwestern Pacific Tropical Storm Density Forecast in the Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project Database P-A3-35 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Wang, Zhuo Extratropical Impacts on Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Implications for S2S Prediction and Predictability P-A1-30 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Wayand, Nicholas A new Sea Ice Prediction Portal: year-round S2S sea ice forecasting P-B6-09 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Weisheimer, Antje Systematic errors in ECMWF’s monthly and seasonal forecasts: The impact of stochastic perturbations in the atmosphere P-A2-13 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Weisheimer, Antje How confident are predictability estimates of the winter NAO? P-B5-10 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Widlansky, Matthew How predictable are seasonal sea level anomalies? P-B4-10 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Wu, Bo EnOI-IAU initialization scheme designed for decadal climate prediction system IAP-DecPreS P-B2-13 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Wu, Tongwen Parameters optimization to improve MJO prediction using CMA S2S model P-A2-14 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Wulff, Ole Subseasonal prediction of heat waves P-A3-36 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Xin, Xiaoge Decadal Prediction Skill of BCC-CSM1.1 Climate Model in East Asia P-B2-14 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Xue, Yan Operational Ocean Reanalysis for S2S at NCEP: Upgrading from 1 degree MOM3 GODAS to ¼ degree MOM6 Hybrid-GODAS P-A6-05 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Yadav, Ramesh Kumar Relationship between Indian summer monsoon and Atlantic Nino P-C3-11 Thursday
20 Sept.
Center Green
Yang, Jing Sub-seasonal prediction of extreme temperature over East China: a mid-to-late July prediction barrier P-A3-37 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green
Yang, Rongqian Warm Season Forecast Experiments with Different Treatments on Ground Water and Evaporative Parameterizations in the NCEP Coupled Forecast System P-B2-15 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Yang, Xiaosong Roles of atmospheric initial state in improving the short-term seasonal climate prediction - CANCELLED P-A1-31 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Yoon, Jin-Ho How much surface soil moisture influence precipitation predictability? P-B1-30 Monday
17 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Zamora, Ryan Evaluation of downscaled GEOS-5 seasonal forecasts used to improve hydrologic forecasting in the United States P-B4-11 Wednesday
19 Sept.
Foothills Lab
Zhang, Chidong Connection between two S2S Predictability Sources: QBO and MJO P-A1-32 Monday
17 Sept.
Center Green
Zhang, Yaocun Sub-seasonal forecast of precipitation over Eastern China in summer monsoon season: Results from BCC_CSM hindcast experiments P-A3-38 Tuesday
18 Sept.
Center Green