WMO/Met Office Climate update

There is a 50:50 chance of the annual average global temperature temporarily reaching 1.5 °C above the pre-industrial level for at least one of the next five years – and the likelihood is increasing with time, according to the Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update, issued by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) and produced by the United Kingdom’s Met Office, the WMO lead centre for these predictions. The development of this near-term prediction capability was driven by the WCRP Grand Challenge on Near-term Climate Prediction, which supported research and development to improve multi-year to decadal climate predictions and their utility to decision makers. 
  • To read the article, click here.

We warmly invite you to attend the next webinar in the 'Tipping elements, irreversibility, and abrupt changes in the Earth system' Discussion Series. On 12 May 2022 at 10:30 CEST, we will explore tipping towards positive social change with two talks:

  • Social tipping dynamics – Ilona Otto (University of Graz)
  • What are the sensitive intervention points needed to make the green energy transition happen as quickly as possible? – Doyne Farmer (University of Oxford)

To register, please see the Discussion Series website.

TEDS Positive Social Change

The first WCRP My Climate Risk Lighthouse Activity Hub Webinar will take place on 12 May 2022 (16:00 IST, 12:30 CEST), organized by the Regional Hub for the Hindu Kush Himalaya under ICIMOD’s Himalayan University Consortium (HUC) and investigating the gap between global models and local decision-making, especially in the context of 'uncertainty'. To find out more, click the heading above.

MCR HUC Webinar May 2022

 Model Hierarchies Workshop 35cm

The second Model Hierarchies workshop will be held 29 August - 1 September 2022, as a 3.5-day in-person (covid permitting) workshop at Stanford, CA (USA). As last time, we solicit talks on the design and use of modeling hierarchies in all aspects of Earth system science, covering the major climate system components -- atmosphere, ocean, land, cryosphere, biosphere -- but this time also underline our interest in exploring the ways in which such models are connected to the downstream uses of this data in the study of climate impacts. The workshop will be structured around talks in a single-session format, interspersed with poster sessions during the recesses. There will be plenty of time in between sessions for collaborative and social discussion.

  • Deadline for abstract submission and application for financial support is extended to 15 May 2022, don't miss the date!
  • To visit the workshop website and to register and submit your abstract, click here

CLIVAR Climate Dynamics Panel

The International CLIVAR Climate Dynamics Panel (CDP) plans to organize workshops annually. The first CDP annual workshop will target our understanding of internal and externally forced variability in the climate system, their interaction on decadal timescales and longer, and the effects of variability on extreme events. We invite submissions on the topic with the aim of tackling the following overarching questions:

  • How to isolate the relative contributions of external and internal variability to observed decadal and longer variability?
  • How do the various external forcings modulate internal variability?
  • Progress in narrowing observational and modeling uncertainties in external and internal variability
  • Effects of external and internal variability on extreme events

The workshop will consist of 6 weekly 2-hour sessions from September 12th to October 21st, 2022, including 4 oral sessions, 1 poster session and 1 final panel discussion.

  • Abstract submission deadline: June 24, 2022
  • Registration deadline: September 1, 2022
  • To know more and register, visit the event website