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harbour crane PIXABAYHow will different choices of the pre-industrial baseline affect the likelihood of nations exceeding the 1.5°C or 2°C temperature thresholds? Find out in this new article by Andrew Schurer and others:

 

Schurer, A. P., Mann, M. E., Hawkins, E., Tett, S. F. B. and Hegerl, G. C., 2017. Importance of the pre-industrial baseline for likelihood of exceeding Paris goals. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/nclimate3345

This paper acknowledges the World Climate Research Programme’s Working Group on

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PIXABAY phuket monsoonThis article by Qinjian Jin and Chien Wang, published in Nature Climate Change, shows that monsoon rainfall in India has increased since 2002 after previously showing significant decline, a signal that has not yet been replicated by global climate models. To find out more see the article: 

Jin, C. and Wang, C. , 2017. A revival of Indian summer monsoon rainfall since 2002. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/nclimate3348

This paper acknowledges the World Climate Research Programme’s Working
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S2SGet the latest issue of the Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) Prediction Project Newsletter, which includes:

  1. Propagation of Intra-Seasonal Tropical Oscillations (PISTON)
  2. Update on the S2S Database
  3. A new ftp site containing MJO indices from the S2S database
  4. 7th International Verification Methods Workshop
  5. S2S Special Session at the 5th WGNE Workshop on systematic errors in weather and climate models
  6. Subseasonal prediction of the heat wave of December 2013 in Southern South America by the POAMA and
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IPMD 2017
WCRP/WWRP International Prize for Model Development 2017:
WCRP and the World Weather Research Programme (WWRP) are seeking nominations for the International Prize for Model Development, awarded annually for an outstanding contribution to weather and climate model development by an early- to mid-career researcher. More details on eligibility, required nomination material and selection process can be found on the WCRP website.
IDP 2017
WCRP/GCOS International Data Prize 2017:
WCRP and
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WCRP logo original ext arcThe World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) has issued a call for expressions of interest from national, regional and international institutions to host a coordinator for WCRP regional activities. To find out more about the criteria and selection process, please click the heading above.

Find out more in an article by Josep (Pep) Candela and David Carlson in the World Meteorological Organization Bulletin.

Global Carbon Budget

Sea Level Conference Day4

Highlights from the Regional Sea Level Changes and Coastal Impacts Conference in New York City are available on the conference website:

Day 1 | Day 2 | Day 3 | Day 4 | Day 5

Click the headline above for more information.

The Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society and the American Meteorological Society (AMOS) have announced that the Joint 25th AMOS National Conference and 12th International Conference for Southern Hemisphere Meteorology and Oceanography, AMOS-ICSHMO 2018, will be held at UNSW Sydney from 5 to 9 February 2018. The conference will bring together experts in meteorology, oceanography and other climate sciences from around the world as well as government representatives, NGOs,

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16-18 October 2018 | Guayaquil, EcuadorConference on ENSO logo

The goal of this conference is to review the progress on the science of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) with a focus on examining the range of ENSO “flavors”, assess the existence of possible, and distinct precursors, and examine how the different oceanic and atmospheric processes that drive the different ENSO flavors and impact their predictability would vary in a warming world. See the conference website for more details.

The call for abstracts will

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Sea Level Conference Banner

Next Monday marks the beginning of the Regional Sea Level Changes and Coastal Impacts Conference in New York City. The conference puts a spotlight on interactions between global warming, associated sea level rise, coastal impacts and options for adaptation. See the full press release (English) (French) (Spanish).

We are excited to release a short movie: A Short Introduction to Climate Models - CMIP & CMIP6

This movie gives insight into the world of climate modelling, particularly WCRP's initiative CMIP. See also the accompanying European Geosciences Union (EGU) highlight article.

Guy BrasseurAs you probably know, David Carlson retired from his position of Executive Director of WCRP on 30 June 2017. Deon Terblanche, Director of the WMO Atmospheric Research and Environment Branch, has agreed to lead the activities of the WCRP Joint Planning Staff for a period of about one year, and to work closely with the Joint Scientific Committee and the climate community towards the development of a new 10-year strategic plan. Read more about WCRP plans here.

The Global Energy and Water Cycle Exchanges (GEWEX) project is one of WCRP's four core projects. The global water cycle encompasses the continuous journey of water as it moves between the Earth’s surface, the atmosphere, and beneath the Earth’s surface. Find out more about GEWEX!

GEWEX

The 5th Working Group on Numerical Experimentation (WGNE) "Workshop on systematic errors in weather and climate models" was held from 19-23 June 2017 in Montréal, Québec, Canada. Find out more about the workshop, early career scientist activities and future plans.

WGNE Workshop Question from Tim Palmer